top of page
Screen Shot 2022-07-20 at 11.39.13 PM.png

R2 Ted Fantasy Football

R2 Ted Fantasy Football is a a sophisticated projection system for predicting weekly fantasy football outcomes, with a focus on daily fantasy sports.  It utilizes cutting edge machine learning linear models and a large data set including advanced stats, climate, travel distance, playing surface, stadium details, days rest, and more to predict each statistical category that accrues fantasy points. R2 simulates each week 10,000 times to calculate the probability that each player appears in the optimal lineup that week.  Projections updated once midweek, once after Friday 5pm injury updates, and one final time within 1 hour of kickoff of main slate.  To efficiently distribute final projections, I can only provide them to those who subscribe to the mailing list.  For more information see the introductory blog post.

*Note that this page displays projections for the main DFS slate of the weekend.  If you are looking for projections for games played on Thursday, Sunday, or Monday nights, I recommend downloading the full projection .xls document or visiting the full projections pages linked below.

Last Updated: 12/31
 

Player
Pos
Team
DK Sal
Opp
Points
St Dev
% Optimal Lineups
Pts/$
Ceiling
Floor
Upside Value
Hayden Hurst
TE
CIN
3000
KC
8.12
6.4
21.7
2.71
14.52
1.72
4.84
Tyler Boyd
WR
CIN
3800
KC
8.45
7.27
21.12
2.22
15.72
1.18
4.14
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR
KC
3600
CIN
7.76
7.31
19.12
2.16
15.07
0.45
4.19
Samaje Perine
RB
CIN
4500
KC
5.98
6.16
12.68
1.33
12.14
0
2.7
Kenneth Gainwell
RB
PHI
4800
SF
5.56
6.55
12.06
1.16
12.11
0
2.52
Jauan Jennings
WR
SF
3300
PHI
5.57
5.81
8.46
1.69
11.38
0
3.45
Justin Watson
WR
KC
3000
CIN
4.97
4.99
6.08
1.66
9.96
0
3.32
Elijah Mitchell
RB
SF
4900
PHI
4.88
5.22
5.84
1
10.1
0
2.06
Noah Gray
TE
KC
2500
CIN
3.86
3.85
3.98
1.55
7.71
0.02
3.09
Boston Scott
RB
PHI
4600
SF
2.4
5.44
3
0.52
7.84
0
1.7
Quez Watkins
WR
PHI
3100
SF
3.51
4.44
1.94
1.13
7.95
0
2.57
Kyle Juszczyk
RB
SF
4000
PHI
2.01
4.35
1.72
0.5
6.36
0
1.59

©2023 by r2 sports metrics.

bottom of page