top of page
Mme_tntA.png

CBCR2 Sam

CBCR2 Sam is a sophisticated statistical system for predicting outcomes of CFB games. CBCR2 Sam uses advanced statistics summarizing prior team performance, team-specific home-field advantage, team-specific away performance, climatic differences for away teams, field surface, and matchup-specific information to predict team performance. CBCR2 Sam is a perfect example of a projection model adhering to the R2 Sports Metrics Philosophy

National Championship Prediction:
Georgia 35.7
TCU 15.2

2022 Performance:  431-161 straight-up (72.8%), 326-249 ATS (56.7%), 11.99 absolute error

Home
Home Pts
Away
Away Pts
Proj. Away MOV
Spread (Home)
Proj. Total
Over/Under
Alabama
31.2
Kansas State
19.7
-11.5
-3
50.9
54
Arkansas
38.1
Kansas
34
-4.1
-3
72.1
69
BYU
38.7
SMU
34
-4.6
4
72.7
65.5
Boise State
35.7
North Texas
19.5
-16.2
-10.5
55.2
56.5
Cincinnati
21.8
Louisville
24.2
2.4
1.5
46
42.5
East Carolina
36
Coastal Carolina
21.5
-14.5
-10.5
57.5
59.5
Florida
28.9
Oregon State
28.9
0.1
10
57.8
52.5
Florida State
37
Oklahoma
26.4
-10.6
-7.5
63.3
65.5
Fresno State
19.9
Washington State
18.2
-1.8
-1
38.1
54.5
Georgia Southern
32.2
Buffalo
30.9
-1.3
-3
63.1
67
Houston
39.4
Louisiana
26.9
-12.5
-6.5
66.2
61
Illinois
23.1
Mississippi State
24.4
1.3
-2.5
47.4
46
Iowa
19.6
Kentucky
12.7
-6.8
-2.5
32.3
31
Maryland
18.2
NC State
20.5
2.3
-1.5
38.6
48
Miami (OH)
20.6
UAB
25.6
5.1
11
46.2
45
Michigan
39.4
TCU
23.5
-15.9
-7.5
63
58.5
Minnesota
27.3
Syracuse
17.8
-9.5
-7.5
45
42.5
Missouri
30.9
Wake Forest
32.6
1.6
1
63.5
61
North Carolina
28
Oregon
41.3
13.3
14
69.3
70.5
Notre Dame
37.8
South Carolina
18.4
-19.5
-2
56.2
52
Ohio State
24.8
Georgia
28
3.2
7
52.8
62.5
Ole Miss
30.5
Texas Tech
27.7
-2.7
-3.5
58.2
69.5
Penn State
26.9
Utah
31.8
4.9
3
58.7
52
Pittsburgh
28
UCLA
28.8
0.8
6
56.7
57.5
Purdue
27.2
LSU
33.9
6.7
11
61.1
58.5
San Diego State
29.4
Middle Tennessee
21.4
-8
-7
50.8
49.5
San José State
28.5
Eastern Michigan
22.2
-6.3
-3.5
50.8
54.5
South Alabama
22.5
Western Kentucky
27.7
5.2
-8
50.2
53.5
Tennessee
32.3
Clemson
24.3
-8
6.5
56.6
63.5
Texas
32.8
Washington
27
-5.8
-5
59.8
68.5
Troy
27.8
UT San Antonio
29.9
2
-1.5
57.7
54.5
Tulane
31.7
USC
36.4
4.7
1.5
68.1
61.5
UCF
31.8
Duke
27.5
-4.3
1.5
59.3
62
Utah State
23.1
Memphis
39.4
16.4
7.5
62.5
61.5
Wisconsin
23.3
Oklahoma State
14.7
-8.6
-3.5
37.9
48.5
Wyoming
23
Ohio
23.5
0.5
1
46.6
43
bottom of page