R2 Roy (nfl) | R2 Sports Metrics

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R2 Roy NFL Projection System

R2 Roy NFL is a sophisticated statistical system for predicting outcomes of NFL games. R2 Roy uses advanced statistics summarizing prior team performance, team-specific home-field advantage, team-specific away performance, climatic differences for away teams, field surface, and matchup-specific information to predict team performance. R2 Roy is the perfect example of a projection model adhering to the R2 Sports Metrics Philosophy. For more information see About Roy - How Roy Performs in Testing.

2022 Performance: Straight up: 172-110-2 (61%); ATS: 147-129-8 (53.2%); Absolute Error: 9.10

2023 Performance: Straight up: 34-14 (70.8%); ATS: 32-16 (70%); Absolute Error: 12.4; OU: 27-21 (56.3%%)

Home	Home Proj.	Away	Away Proj.	Proj. Away MoV	Proj. Winner	Win Prob	Proj. Total	Spread (Home)	Over/Under
Panthers	22.1	Vikings	24.8	2.7	Vikings	0.5776	46.9	4	46
Bears	20.7	Broncos	25.1	4.3	Broncos	0.6232	45.8	3.5	46
Titans	18.5	Bengals	22.8	4.3	Bengals	0.6267	41.3	2.5	42.5
Cowboys	24.0	Patriots	19.4	-4.6	Cowboys	0.6315	43.4	-7	43.5
Colts	21.4	Rams	21.8	0.4	Rams	0.5115	43.2	-1.5	44.5
Saints	21.6	Buccaneers	19.9	-1.7	Saints	0.5399	41.4	-3	40
Giants	21.3	Seahawks	26.0	4.7	Seahawks	0.629	47.3	-1.5	46.5
Packers	23.9	Lions	26.0	2.1	Lions	0.5582	49.9	1.5	45
Bills	26.9	Dolphins	22.1	-4.8	Bills	0.641	49.1	-2.5	53.5
Browns	18.0	Ravens	21.0	3.0	Ravens	0.5865	38.9	-2.5	41
Texans	17.7	Steelers	24.5	6.8	Steelers	0.6937	42.2	3	41
Eagles	25.5	Commanders	17.3	-8.2	Eagles	0.7271	42.8	-8.5	44.5
Chargers	25.8	Raiders	22.0	-3.8	Chargers	0.621	47.8	-5.5	48
49ers	27.3	Cardinals	16.1	-11.3	49ers	0.7996	43.4	-14	43.5
Jets	17.9	Chiefs	27.6	9.7	Chiefs	0.7601	45.5	9.5	42.5
Falcons	20.5	Jaguars	22.4	1.9	Jaguars	0.5548	42.9	3	43